Table B Concluded Potential Contribution of Biomass Energy Supplies by Technology and End

(quads)

National Premiums Scenario

Current Technology

Biomass-Electric

Combustion/Boilers, Incinerators

Wood and Wood Wastes MSW

Agricultural Wastes Landfill and Digester Gas

1988

0.48

2000

1.51

2010

2.08

2020

2.30

2030

2.50

Biomass-Buildings Wood Stove Combustion

0.95

1.00

1.45

1.80

2.16

Biomass-lndustrial

Combustion (Wood and Wood Wastes)

1.77

2.70

3.35

3.80

4.25

Biomass-Liquid Fuels Ethanol from Grains

0.07

0.30

0.40

0.40

0.40

Advanced Technology

Biomass-Electric

MSW Digestion

Combustion/Gasification/ Turbines

0.02

Biomass-Liquid Fuels

Ethanol, Methanol, Gasoline from Energy Crops

0.01

0.55

1.10

2.40

Table B-6. Biomass Electric Penetration

Primary Energy (quads)

Business-as-Usual Scenario

1988

2000

2010

2020

2030

Northeast

0.14

0.31

0.49

0.58

0.67

South

0.20

0.42

0.65

0.77

0.89

West

0.09

0.11

0.33

0.39

0.45

North Central

0.05

0.10

0.17

0.19

0.22

Total

0.48

0.94

1.64

1.93

2.23

R,D&D Intensification Scenario

Northeast

0.14

0.34

0.57

0.72

0.94

South

0.20

0.46

0.76

0.96

1.25

West

0.09

0.23

0.39

0.48

0.63

North Central

0.05

0.11

0.19

0.24

0.31

Total

0.48

1.14

1.91

2.40

2.88

National Premiums Scenario

Northeast

0.14

0.45

0.63

0.72

0.81

South

0.20

0.61

0.84

0.96

1.08

West

0.09

0.30

0.42

0.48

0.54

North Central

0.05

0.15

0.22

0.24

0.27

Total

0.48

1.51

2.10

2.40

2.70

Potential Resource Availability

Buildings, industrial, and biofuels applications also compete for these resources. The resources include energy crops, wood and wood wastes, MSW, and landfill contents.

Table B-7. Blomass Buildings Penetration

1988

2000

2010

2020

2030

Business-as-Usual Scenario

Northeast

0.21

0.22

0.29

0.34

0.49

South

0.41

0.42

0.49

0.64

0.69

West

0.11

0.12

0.19

0.24

0.29

North Central

0.22

0.24

0.48

0.58

0.64

Total

0.95

1.00

1.45

1.80

2.16

R,D&D intensification Scenario

Northeast

0.21

0.25

0.40

0.50

0.70

South

0.41

0.45

0.60

0.80

0.90

West

0.11

0.15

0.30

0.40

0.50

North Central

0.22

0.30

0.70

0.90

1.10

Total

0.95

1.15

2.00

2.60

3.20

National Premiums Scenario

Northeast

0.21

0.22

0.29

0.34

0.49

South

0.41

0.42

0.49

0.64

0.69

West

0.11

0.12

0.19

0.24

0.29

North Central

0.22

0.24

0.48

0.58

0.69

Total

0.95

1.00

1.45

1.80

2.16

Potential Resource Availability

Electric power, industrial, and biofuels applications also compete for these resources. The resources include energy crops plus wood and wood wastes.

Table B-8. Biomass Industrial Penetration

Primary Energy (quads)_

1988 2000 2010 2020 2030

Business-as-Usual Scenario

Northeast

0.20

0.34

0.45

0.53

0.61

South

0.96

1.13

1.36

1.52

1.67

West

0.41

0.48

0.62

0.71

0.81

North Central

0.20

0.25

0.42

0.54

0.66

Total

1.77

2.20

2.85

3.30

3.75

R.D&D Intensification Scenario

Northeast

0.20

0.37

0.56

0.69

0.82

South

0.96

1.16

1.47

1.68

1.88

West

0.41

0.48

0.62

0.71

0.81

North Central

0.20

0.31

0.64

0.86

1.08

Total

1.77

2.32

3.29

3.94

4.59

National Premiums Scenario

Northeast

0.20

0.42

0.53

0.61

0.69

South

0.96

1.39

1.62

1.78

1.93

West

0.41

0.59

0.73

0.82

0.92

North Central

0.20

0.30

0.47

0.59

0.71

Total

1.77

2.70

3.35

3.80

4.25

Potential Resources Available

Electric power, buildings, and biofuels applications also compete for these resources. The resources include energy crops plus wood and wood wastes.

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